March 2009

Who ‘Evoked’ First?

In defending his selection of an anti-gay rights activist to become the Cincinnati NAACP’s legal advisor, Christopher Smitherman scolded critics for daring to invoke the legacy of the Rev. Martin Luther King Jr.---Speaking on his WDBZ (AM 1230) radio show last weekend, Smitherman addressed the local LGBT community. He criticized them for mentioning King when discussing their own civil rights struggles.“But the bottom line is your comm

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GV Integrates Google Voice into Android

GV for AndroidAndroid users who are switching over to their Google Voice phone number full-time like I am need a handy little app called GV. GV provides calling and SMS support via your Google Voice number in Android that isn’t perfect, but is getting there.

GV’s About dialog says that GOOG hasn’t released an official, supported API for the product, so it’ll only work as long as Google Voice’s mobile interface doesn’t change. No doubt the Android developers at Google are busy at work building default hooks to Google Voice into a future release of the mobile phone operating system. But until Google Voice support comes out of the box, GV’s the way to go.

Install GV from the Android Market (it’s free), and hit up the settings to enter your Google Voice username, password, and phone number. From there, any time you make a call or send an SMS, you have the choice to use your Google Voice number or your cell phone number.

Here’s what that looks like.

Tap and hold on a contact you want to text or call, and GV will ask which method you want to use, as shown.

GV Choose how to call/SMS

Since I’m switching to my Google Voice number full-time, I checked off that “Use by default for this action” box before I chose GV for both texting and calling.

For the most part the transition to Google Voice with GV is going well for me, save a couple oddities that take some getting used to.

First, to place a call, you tap your contact, and GV calls you first. You pick up, and then it rings your contact. That’s the only way to have your GV number show up on the caller ID on the other end–but it’s still weird when you’re used to just picking up a phone and dialing.

Update: Commenter Oren points out that in GV’s settings, you can choose “Dial out” instead of “Call back” as the method for calling a contact. That option calls Google Voice, which prompts you to “dial the number of the person you want to call.” Hang in for a moment, and do nothing, and GV will ring the contact you chose automatically. Awesome, thanks, Oren!

GV Dial Out

Second, when you text message a contact from your GV number via GV, and that person replies, you can reply back to their message–but the “From:” number is an unknown 406 phone number. Again, you can save that Google-Voice-to-contact specific number in their contact record, but it introduces yet another phone number into the scenario.

Google Voice is still young and needs more work to grab the folks without high tolerances for multiple-phone-number complexity in exchange for the convenience it provides. But for the early-ish adopters on Android, the GV app is a good bet. (Thanks for the tip, emailtoid!)

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Miro News Blog: Apply Now: ‘09-’10 VISTA Position with PCF

americorps_logoIn addition to our summer PCF internship, we’re excited to announce an AmeriCorps*VISTA based position, which is centered around working with our Miro Local TV partners (namely, public broadcasting affiliates and community TV centers from around the US).

What: VISTA Position @ PCF
When: Mid-July 2009 to July 2010
Where: Boston or NYC
Wage: Living Stipend/Educational Award/Health Care
See eligibility requirements below.

This is a very unique opportunity to work as part of the PCF team for a full year. Read on to find out more about how a VISTA position works, and details on what you would be doing.

About the Miro Local TV Project

Due to media consolidation and disintegrating business models, traditional local journalism is on the decline. As a result, mainstream media is failing the needs of American towns and cities for a local discourse that articulates common identities and informs the democratic process. Citizen journalism could fill this void, but citizen journalists constantly struggle for audience, reach, and relevance.

Miro Local TV (MLTV) will create a series of community-based video hubs to connect local creators, public access stations, and the community of viewers. With these new hubs and the relationships that they form, vibrant local communities of video can flourish. Quite simply, we can create an active, citizen-driven, online television world for individual cities and towns.

MLTV will focus on five communities in the first year. Each hub will be a local website (e.g. worcestervideo.org) where people can watch and submit video. A partnership with the local public access station will ground an outreach effort to connect creators and creative organizations to residents that are eager to engage with local news and information. MLTV will provide tools for syndication (in and out), ways to geographically code and gather local content from across the internet, and custom local versions of the open source video player, Miro.

Your Responsibilities, as a VISTA Member

a. Aiding in the development of outreach guidelines with our Outreach Director.

b. Managing relationships with partner community access and public television stations.

c. Co-developing and publishing training materials for partner organizations to use to learn to use the Miro Local TV web software.

d. Assisting organizations in the initial setup and customization of their Community Video Hub.

e. Outreach to potential community partners for the larger, second year of the project which will begin in fall 2009.

Your Skills

We would be able to make efficient use of a range of skills for this position, and to some extent will adapt the position based on the degree of technical proficiency of the candidate. By far, the most important criteria for us are demonstrated intelligence, professionalism, and responsibility. More specifically, we will look for the following:

a. Proficiency with use of modern internet tools and services (eg. email, word processing, etc).

b. Ability to write clearly and simply, including the ability to explain technical concepts and software instructions in plain english.

c. Strong and positive communication skills both for internal communication with our team and communication and support for partner organizations.

d. Ability to listen and synthesize diverse demands.

What Unique Benefits and Experiences do you Gain?

PCF is one of the leading software development non-profits in the world. Our hiring process is strict, our positions are very desirable, and the resulting team that we have assembled is world-class.

Above all, being a member of our team offers access to this wealth of human resources— professionals that are leaders in their field, that are well connected to other organizations and companies, and who are happy to offer their knowledge and experience to each other.

The VISTA member will have full access to our staff and our technical resources. In addition, the member will be invited to technical and media conferences that staff participate in at various times during the year.

The Specifics of Being a VISTA Member

The VISTA position is available in both Boston and New York City — you will technically be a volunteer, but will receive a living stipend, educational award, and health care coverage. More information on the CTC VISTA program.

VISTA Member Benefits

In return for your service, AmeriCorps*VISTA and the CTC VISTA Project has many benefits, some more valuable than others:

* ~$11,000/year living allowance. This amount varies based upon the community in which you serve.
* $4,725 Education Award or $1,200 stipend paid at the successful completion of your year of service
* Student loan deferment or forbearance on qualified loans
* Health benefits and prescription drug coverage
* Serve as part of a national team, facilitated by the CTC VISTA Project, to share resources, experience and advice
* The opportunity to gain high-level experience, skills and access within the nonprofit sector. Many of our alumni have gone on to full-time employment within their organization or another as a result of their service within the CTC VISTA Project

Eligibility

AmeriCorps*VISTA candidates must be a U.S. citizen, U.S. national, or lawful permanent resident, be team-oriented, and be willing to take on a wide range of challenges. Some listings may require college degrees or previous work experience. You must be at least 17 years old. There is no upper age limit, and many AmeriCorps*VISTA members bring significant work and life experiences to their assignment. Self-initiative, flexibility and organizational skills are a must.

How to Apply

Send your application directly to jobs [at] pculture.org with “VISTA Position” somewhere in the subject line. Please include: brief bio, statement of interest, and a resume. We’ll be interviewing candidates over the coming weeks.

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Speaking of Home by Nancy Ann Coyne


Speaking of Home by Nancy Ann Coyne

I’ve been thinking about downtown Cincinnati skywalks as sites for public art, and I just came across a project entitled Speaking of Home by Nancy Ann Coyne. Installed last year in IDS Center /Macy’s Skyway in Minneapolis, the project featured large-scale portraits of new Minnesotans, along with their countries of origin, definitions of “home,” and the word “home” in each native language.

Speaking of Home by Nancy Ann Coyne

For more information, see the project site and Steven Heller’s thorough interview with the artist.

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Dramatic readings of message-board posts about atheism from Christian fundamentalist message boards

If Atheists Ruled the World -- four minutes of dramatic readings from choice selections in various fundamentalist Christian online forums (see here for more).

If Atheists Ruled the World

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Grass

Grass is officially the greatest idea ever. It's a "crafty carnival circus party" where you can see how talented and creative your friends are. Be proud of them and of Cincinnati. Buy things. Drink beer. Eat pizza. Watch some flicks. And dance to the Lions Rampant and DJ INDIANgiver. ---

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Open Source Hardware Bank March Update

It's been ~4 weeks since the first blog post about the Open Source Hardware Bank, and things have been really really busy for Justin and me. I think the biggest news is that the Illuminato Round 1 "Fund" has gone from a complete start to finish, so I'm going back now to see what happened. In the spirit of transparency, I'm trying to list everything that I think someone would be interested in asking... and I kind of want to make a point that it's possible to be "open source" about finance too. In the meantime, I'm definitely becoming more of an economist than I ever thought I would be...

"OSHB Fund 1" by the numbers
  • The OSHB Fund 1 funded 100 Illuminatos.
  • It took 3.5 weeks for the entire experiment to start and end (that was fast).
  • 20 people bought Illuminato's from other people who funded them, which amounted to an even 20% "peer-to-peer" distributed capital percentage. Thanks Priya for that term...
  • 48 other people bought Illuminato's that were funded by the OSHB (there are 2 left, which means the bank successfully funded and returned on its investment (the momentum principle held for the Illuminato woo hoo!).
  • 8 people did the Buy-1-Build-2, got an Illuminato for cost, and $4.50 for shipping, which pretty much means free ground shipping anywhere in the U.S. Anyone who bought this will get a little box with an Illuminato in it, and a check for $64.48 give or take (depending on the shipping amount). The Buy-1-Build-2 option costs $94.47, so subtracting $64.48 equals $29.99, which is the cost of the Illuminato with no markup.
  • 11 people did the Buy-1-Build-1 (it's hard to see in the current graphic, but that's because they went over the middle queue amount). Anyone who bought this will get a box with an Illuminato, and a check for $34.49 give or take. The Buy-1-Build-1 option cost $64.48, so subtracting $34.49 equals $29.99, which is the cost with no markup.
  • 90 Illuminatos were sold with a 15% markup, which is WAAAAY less than the current average for electronics, which is something like 40-70%.
  • 6 Illuminatos were sold with a 30% markup, which is actualy still less than the current average for electronics.
  • 2 Illuminatos sold with a 45% markup, and that's only because they're the last ones at the end of the queue, but it's funny because actually, that's STILL less than the markup on most electronics.
  • For matching the other half of the inventory round, the bank made a return of about $234 dollars in margin off the initial $1,380 it invested, for a return of about 16.95%. It's higher than 15% because of the few 30% markups at the tail end of the queue.
  • The bank's return on investment of 16.95% for the Illuminato "OSHB Fund 1" happened within 3.5 weeks.
Ok, that's all nice, but what about the actual real things that are getting made? The Illuminatos' PCBs are almost done ... Mike and I are just proofing them to make sure all the connections really work and do what we want them to do :)


The Accountable Agency Ratio (AAR)

Of the 34 ButtonShields currently bought/funded, 13 were bought right out vs. 21 funded, which means an "accountable agency ratio" of 38%. The "accountable agency ratio" is a term that Justin and I thought up after reading some econ textbooks we borrowed from friends. It probably deserves it's own blog post, but the gist is that there's this thing called the "agency problem" which is what economists like to blame lots of problems on - like greed and bubbles and mismanagement and lack of CEO ethics and corruption. I think it basically comes down to this: the guy running the company is often not the guy who's money is at stake, so he's an agent, and he does all kinds of stuff for his own benefit, not for the benefit of the investor.

In the real world, the accountable agency ratio is something like 0.01% for employees (like me in my day job), 1-5% for overpaid executives (who get lots of options), 5-30% for each entrepreneur in a startup (based on friends of mine), and 10-40% for investors (like venture capital, but this is an estimate). So Justin and I don't want to this ratio to go below 33%.

Why? I don't know, it just feels right. That's like a 2:1 leverage ratio, instead of the 9:1 leverage ratio of the US central bank lending system, and 20:1 leverage ratio of mortgage lending all the failed banks used.


"OSHB Fund 2" by the numbers





  • 34 ButtonShields have been bought or funded.
  • 23 EqualizerShields have been bought or funded
  • Of the 23 EqualizerShields, 12 are bought outright, vs. 11 funded, for an "accountable agency ratio" (AAR) of 52%!
  • At the time that the Illuminato round 2 got funded, the AAR ratio was about 20/50, or 40%. So I suppose that technically means the EqualizerShield is getting less "speculation" and more "I just want one"-tion. :-)
  • 16 DoubleWide X's have been bought or built, with an AAR ratio of 50%.
  • 4 TripleWide's have been bought and 1 built. Hmmmm... The AAR ratio is 80%.


What happened to the Fund-5 option?

Now that Justin and I have the AAR (accountable agency ratio) defined, I didn't think it made sense to just have someone come in and Fund-5 at any given time off the bat, because that would run the risk of inappropriately or arbitrarily elevating the perceived "demand" for something that's getting built. Since the initial demand is the thing that's being used to lower the risk for the OSHB because of the "momentum principle," screwing with it can lead to inappropriate "demand bubbles." ... just like credit default swaps (at least from what I can understand of them), that would mean the bank was making a bet on a momentum principle which was artificially inflated. Since bubbles are a bad thing, Justin and I are trying to avoid them.


The Fund-5 option addresses the AAR in 2 ways. First, it's a "Build-2" in the first half of the inventory queue, so this goes towards offsetting initial demand's AAR. Second, it's a "Bank-3", which means that it's funding 3 after the half-way fulcrum point. That means it's partly replacing the role of the bank. This makes sense because in exchange for optimizing the AAR down to 33% and an unattached 15% ROI, the Fund-5 option has to wait until all the other Build's in the first half of the queue are built before these last 3 get refunded (like the bank does). And, it's assuming and reducing part of the speculation over the bank's bet on the momentum principle.

Now that there's an established Buy/Build AAR ratio for the ButtonShield, EqualizerShield, and DoubleWide X, Justin put up on the store a couple of Fund-5 options for those...

So there are 3 Fund-5 options for the ButtonShield, because if all 3 of them sold, that would make the AAR equal to 33%. Anyone who buys these would get a 15% ROI in whatever time period they sold. Or at any time, the Fund-5 can be cashed out by getting some of the inventory it funded, at cost of course.

There are also now 6 Fund-5 options for the EqualizerShield, because if they all sold, that would make the AAR equal to 34%.

There are 4 Fund-5 options for the DoubleWide X, for a max AAR of 33%.

And there are 3 Fund-5 options for the TripleWide X, for a max AAR of 36%.



Questions for April

After the last (and first) OSEC meeting in NYC, Justin and I met Andrew, and decided to start the bank and funding in the first place, which led to all of the mess we're in now :) There's still a lot to figure out, so here are a couple of topics that I think we'll probably talk about at the next upcoming OSEC meeting (either April 10, 11, 17, or 18).

There's a "terminal run" problem that I think I want to figure out - thanks to Mike for thinking of this. Another way to say this is, what happens when another round gets funded, and built, but half-way through no one else wants one? What happens to the left over stock? When should the bank decide when to start another queue for the same product?

There's an "incremental innovation" issue that Justin is thinking about based on his emailing. That's a couple of big words for an otherwise simple question: how do I incorporate small tweaks into the hardware that someone submits or asks for? In between queuing rounds?

There's an "international logistics" problem that a bunch of people have mentioned. Because international shipping is expensive, it might make sense to either pool or parallel build, or something like that around the world at the same time in order to reduce the cost of shipping to Europe from the US or vice versa. (Thanks Eric and Joerg) This is another funny difference between Open Source Software and Hardware. Sending OSS to someone around the world is free, or fractions of a penny at most, but hardware can be between $40-120.

There's a list of other hardware projects I've gotten over email from people all over the world who want to be included in the next round for the bank. I think the OSEC meeting we'll have to figure out a formal process of voting on which ones move up into the queue.

There are lots of analyses I've started to build that I want to include on the website... I'd like to get some help on them, or some opinions.

There's a wiki that Justin is starting that will need lots of work from him and me over the next couple of weeks.

Ok... back to coding my next project...!

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Has the Hour of Lafcadio Hearn Finally Arrived?

http://www.loa.org/images/pdf/hearn/Benfey_interview_on_Hearn.pdf

In his New Yorker review of Jonathan Cott’s 1990 biography of Lafcadio Hearn, Brad Leithauser wrote “The canon of nineteenth-century American literature contains a number of outsize oddballs (Poe, Dickinson, and Whitman foremost among them), but even in such singular company Hearn often succeeds in looking sharply eccentric. In his fifty-four years, this British-Irish-Greek-American-Japanese essayist, fiction writer, folk- lorist, and translator clashed with our country’s miscegenation laws (in 1874, with a black clergyman presiding, he married Mattie Foley, an eighteen-year-old mulatto who was born a slave); denounced Christianity and pursued Buddhism; composed journalism of such raw gusto that even in our unbuttoned age it can still jangle the nerves; . . . talked to ghosts in mediums’ dens; and became, possibly, a bigamist (his marriage, in 1891, to a Japanese woman was evidently not preceded by a divorce from Mattie). Given a life so contrarily colorful and so charged with explosive social issues, it is surprising that Hearn has not found his way onto more English-department syllabuses.” Does this sound accurate? Will Lafcadio Hearn: American Writings remedy this oversight?

I’m completely convinced that Hearn’s time has come. He famously wrote that he worshiped “the Odd, the Queer, the Strange, the Exotic, the Monstrous.” Such pronouncements have made it easy to dismiss him as some oddball com- bination of Poe and Gauguin, living in an escapist world of dreams. But what Hearn was really interested in was the astonishing variety of human life. That’s what comes across strongly in his American Writings, in which his omnivorous curiosity is everywhere on show. Despite his traumatic early years, when he was abandoned by his relatives and just about everyone he trusted, he retained an incredible zest and openness for new experiences and places. When he finds himself in a new locale—an African-American dive in segregated Cincinnati, a voodoo ceremony in New Orleans, an uncharted Filipino fishing village in the Gulf of Mexico—he wants to devour everything in it. He simply goes further afield than any of his contemporaries—try to imagine Henry James or Edith Wharton in these places! It’s true that Hearn’s tastes run toward the decadent and the evanescent. “The Last of the Voudoos” is the title of his vivid article on the legendary voodoo wizard Jean Montanet, and we’ve also included his charming portrait of “The Last of the New Orleans Fencing-Masters.”

(...) One of our best current travel writers, Pico Iyer, uses the phrase “global soul” for people who have adapted themselves to our new world of mass migra- tion and globalization. Hearn, it seems to me, was an early version of a global soul...

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One Model for a New World Economy

If the Industrial-Era economic system is, in fact, on its last legs, it would be useful to think through some of the possible post-capitalism models that might emerge.

I don't think we have enough early indicators to create a solid vision, so anything we talk about will have to be something of a thought experiment. What kinds of constraints would we face? What kinds of demands? Consider the following, then, at best a scenario sketch.

Resilience Economics

[Update: To clarify, as requested: this is written as a scenario set in the unspecified (but probably ~late 2020s) future, from the point of view of someone living in that future.]

The trigger was a phrase we'd all become sick of: "Too Big to Fail." The phrase had moved quickly from sarcasm to cliché, but ended up as the pole star for what to avoid. Any economy that enabled the creation of institutions that were too big to fail -- that is, whose failure would threaten to collapse the system -- could never be thought of as resilient. And, as the early 21st century rolled along, resilience is what mattered, in our environment, in our societies, and increasingly in our economics.

Traditional capitalism was, arguably, driven by the desire to increase wealth, even at the expense of other values. Traditional socialism, conversely, theoretically wanted to increase equality, even if that meant less wealth. But both 19th/20th century economic models had insufficient focus on increasing resilience, and would often actively undermine it. The economic rules we started to assemble in the early 2010s seek to change that.

Resilience economics continues to uphold the elements of previous economic models that offer continued value: freedom and openness from capitalism at its best; equality and a safety net from socialism's intent. But it's not just another form of "mixed economy" or "social democracy." The focus is on something entirely new: decentralized diversity as a way of managing the unexpected.

Decentralized diversity (what we sometimes call the "polyculture" model) means setting the rules so that no one institution or approach to solving a problem/meeting a need ever becomes overwhelmingly dominant. This comes at a cost to efficiency, but efficiency only works when there are no bumps in the road. Redundancy works out better in times of chaos and uncertainty -- backups and alternatives and slack in the system able to counter momentary failures.

It generates less wealth than traditional capitalism would, at least when it was working well, but is far less prone to wild swings, and has an inherent safety net (what designers call "graceful failure") to cushion downturns.

Completely transactional transparency also helps, giving us a better chance to avoid surprises and to spot problems before they get too big. The open-source folks called this the "many eyes" effect, and they were definitely on to something. It's much harder to game the system when everyone can see what you're doing.

Flexibility and collaboration have long been recognized as fundamental to resilient systems, and that's certainly true here. One headline on a news site referred to it as the "LEGO economy," and that was pretty spot-on. Lots of little pieces able to combine and recombine; not everything fits together perfectly, but surprising combinations often have the most creative result.

Lastly, the resilience economy has adopted a much more active approach to looking ahead. Not predicting, not even planning -- no "five year plans" here. It's usually referred to as "scanning," and the focus is less on visions of the future than on early identification of emerging uncertainties. Resilience economists are today's foresight specialists.

What does this all look like for everyday people? For most of us, it's actually not far off from how we lived a generation ago. We still shop for goods, although the brands are more numerous and there are far fewer "big players" -- and those that emerge tend not to last long. People still go to work, although more and more of us engage in micro-production of goods and intellectual content. And people still lose their jobs and suffer personal economic problems... but, again, there's far less risk of economic catastrophe, and some societies are even starting to experiment with a "guaranteed basic income" system.

Is it perfect? By no means. We're still finding ways in which resilience economics isn't working out as well as past approaches, and situations where a polyculture model doesn't provide the kinds of results that the old oligarchic/monopoly capitalist model could. But those of us who remember the dark days of the econopalypse know where non-resilient models can lead, and would rather fix what we've made than go back to the past.


Okay, I'll be the first to admit that this isn't as complete a picture as we'd like, but the core idea -- that resilience becomes the driver of new economics -- strikes me as very plausible. It's a pretty technologically conservative scenario; no AI-managed "just-in-time socialism" here, nor any nano-cornucopian visions. But it's very much the kind of model we could create in the aftermath of a disastrous economic crisis, in a world where the importance of resilience is becoming increasingly evident.

Understanding the World
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Cincinnati’s Agenda 360

Thorough critique of Cincinnati's Agenda 360 plan.

10 Vote(s)

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